Christian Academy of IN
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #119
Brown County Semi-State Rank #24
Crawford County Regional Rank #6
Crawford County Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 1.4%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating North Harrison Invitational Eagle Classic Crawford County Invitational Dragon Invitational Lincoln Trails Invitational New Washington Invitational Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/20 9/24 9/27 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 977 933 985 947 1,021 915 1,075 949 984
Team Adjusted Rating 933 985 947 1,021 915 1,075 949 984
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating North Harrison Invitational Eagle Classic Crawford County Invitational Dragon Invitational Lincoln Trails Invitational New Washington Invitational Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State
429  Hailey Hack 9 21:16 21:22 21:32 20:47 21:27 20:49 21:57 20:51 21:08 21:42
827  Madelynn Lutz 10 22:21 22:13 22:29 22:04 22:42 21:52 22:52 22:34 22:05
877  Anna Nash 10 22:27 22:27 22:02 22:32 22:15 22:27 22:10 22:59 22:40 22:22
1,022  Madison Smith 11 22:45 21:40 22:18 22:58 22:59 23:05 22:32 22:37 23:25
1,251  Adeline Oakley 9 23:16 24:07 23:24 23:29 23:14 23:08 23:23 22:52 23:11
Katie Ammons 9 24:19 25:22 26:53 24:40 25:13 24:43 24:01 23:46 24:04




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 1.4% 18.6 428 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6
Regionals 100% 7.5 192 0.3 1.2 4.0 55.5 24.9 9.8 4.4
Sectionals 100% 3.3 104 71.5 22.4 6.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hailey Hack 98.7% 88.8 98.6% 98.7%
Madelynn Lutz 5.7% 126.4 4.3% 4.8%
Anna Nash 3.0% 128.0 1.6% 1.9%
Madison Smith 1.5% 135.8 0.1% 0.1%
Adeline Oakley 1.4% 146.8 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hailey Hack 100% 20.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.8 3.5 5.7 8.2 9.9 11.3 10.7 10.5 9.1 7.0 6.1 100.0%
Madelynn Lutz 100% 42.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Anna Nash 100% 44.7 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Madison Smith 100% 50.2 100.0%
Adeline Oakley 100% 57.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hailey Hack 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.5 8.9 20.6 23.1 18.7 12.2 6.2 3.9 1.0 0.3 0.0
Madelynn Lutz 19.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.4 8.5 13.4 22.7 20.7 13.9 8.7 4.7 2.4 1.1
Anna Nash 20.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 4.4 8.2 15.6 20.8 18.1 13.9 8.8 5.0 2.1
Madison Smith 22.7 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.5 5.8 10.9 16.4 19.1 16.8 12.1
Adeline Oakley 27.6 0.1 0.5 1.6 4.2 7.8